Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.046035 0.050096 0.054212 0.058690 0.063418 0.068254 0.073568
2025-01-19 0.040217 0.046210 0.052507 0.059588 0.067305 0.075432 0.084615
2025-01-26 0.034740 0.042029 0.049945 0.059119 0.069397 0.080500 0.093339
2025-02-02 0.030783 0.039074 0.048358 0.059410 0.072097 0.086098 0.102610
2025-02-09 0.028025 0.037176 0.047709 0.060549 0.075602 0.092519 0.112797
2025-02-16 0.026436 0.036463 0.048285 0.062992 0.080539 0.100560 0.124878
2025-02-23 0.022775 0.032913 0.045209 0.060869 0.079930 0.102047 0.129308
2025-03-02 0.020291 0.030615 0.043465 0.060176 0.080876 0.105246 0.135660
2025-03-09 0.018248 0.028708 0.042056 0.059758 0.082045 0.108631 0.142186
2025-03-16 0.017462 0.028397 0.042625 0.061780 0.086194 0.115608 0.153044
2025-03-23 0.016406 0.027626 0.042520 0.062887 0.089169 0.121150 0.162191
2025-03-30 0.015355 0.026774 0.042241 0.063711 0.091752 0.126196 0.170749
2025-04-06 0.013889 0.025252 0.041011 0.063275 0.092755 0.129361 0.177132
2025-04-13 0.013012 0.024531 0.040835 0.064212 0.095523 0.134750 0.186313
2025-04-20 0.011761 0.023145 0.039646 0.063712 0.096369 0.137694 0.192456
2025-04-27 0.010864 0.022236 0.039077 0.064016 0.098245 0.141937 0.200243
2025-05-04 0.010297 0.021808 0.039171 0.065214 0.101301 0.147700 0.209975
2025-05-11 0.010141 0.022038 0.040233 0.067783 0.106227 0.155916 0.222887
2025-05-18 0.008775 0.020124 0.037983 0.065548 0.104561 0.155516 0.224765
2025-05-25 0.007898 0.018971 0.036821 0.064819 0.104903 0.157705 0.229944
2025-06-01 0.007163 0.018004 0.035892 0.064379 0.105608 0.160351 0.235708
2025-06-08 0.007026 0.018128 0.036692 0.066507 0.109920 0.167817 0.247787
2025-06-15 0.006701 0.017869 0.036854 0.067671 0.112879 0.173492 0.257562